US-Colombia security cooperation has deepened under President Abelardo de la Espriella since his August 2026 inauguration, with Bogotá authorizing joint operations against ELN rebels and drug networks, including US MQ-9 Reaper drone deployments from Africa for surveillance and potential strikes. Recent rebel attacks, such as car bombs and drone strikes in Cauca, have prompted Colombia to launch task force Urano and intensify offensives, while the US continues lethal boat strikes in international waters under broader counter-narcotics efforts. These developments reflect expanded bilateral coordination and aid rather than unilateral US action on Colombian territory, aligning with trader consensus pricing low near-term probability for a qualifying strike by year-end deadlines amid emphasis on joint frameworks and sovereignty. Scheduled diplomatic and operational updates could influence escalation risks.
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