Recent US actions have centered on targeted Entity List additions for specific Chinese firms tied to Xinjiang forced labor and Iranian oil shipments, alongside China's reciprocal export curbs on select US entities, rather than broad new sanctions. A bilateral trade truce extended through January 2027 has stabilized relations following high-level meetings, reducing near-term escalation risks before the October 31 window closes. Ongoing enforcement focuses on narrow compliance and supply-chain issues without signals of sweeping measures from the administration. This pattern of calibrated, reciprocal steps aligns with trader consensus that comprehensive new sanctions are unlikely to materialize in the remaining timeframe.