**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 85.5% reflects the narrow, negotiated scope of recent U.S. government interventions on frontier AI models.** In June 2026, Commerce Department export controls briefly forced Anthropic to disable public access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users after barring foreign nationals, citing cybersecurity risks such as jailbreaks enabling cyberattacks. Access was partially restored within weeks to vetted U.S. partners, and OpenAI agreed to staggered, government-vetted releases for GPT-5.6 rather than full removal. A subsequent voluntary pre-release review framework, completed in August and still largely non-public, emphasizes early government evaluation of covered models without mandating broad public bans. Recent October reversals restoring UK AISI access further signal a preference for targeted security reviews over permanent domestic restrictions. While national security concerns around advanced capabilities persist, the pattern of temporary measures, negotiations, and exemptions for open-weight systems makes another full public access removal unlikely by year-end absent major new incidents.