Recent reports indicate Ukrainian security services (SBU) foiled a small plot by four individuals in the Ivano-Frankivsk region who allegedly planned to occupy parliament, stage provocations during demonstrations, and install a provisional government, resulting in weapons seizures and arrests. This development occurs amid heightened domestic tensions, including nationwide protests over moves against anti-corruption bodies, Zelenskyy's declining approval ratings, and public calls for leadership change. External pressure has intensified with U.S. President Trump publicly urging a new Ukrainian president and linking the issue to energy policy disputes with Russia. Martial law continues to restrict elections and large gatherings, while potential rivals such as Valerii Zaluzhnyi maintain strong polling support. Trader consensus currently prices a widely reported coup attempt by year-end as low-probability, reflecting the limited scale of recent incidents and institutional controls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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