Manel Kape's repeated public calls for a UFC flyweight title shot against champion Joshua Van drive the strong trader consensus at 93.5% for that matchup. Kape's recent knockout wins, including a third-round stoppage of Kyoji Horiguchi in June 2026 and a first-round finish of Brandon Royval, have positioned him as the clear top contender in the division. Online exchanges between the fighters and Kape's consistent messaging have reinforced expectations that the UFC will book the bout next. Lower odds on Alexandre Pantoja and Tatsuro Taira reflect their limited immediate paths to a fight with Kape. A scheduling shift, injury, or title defense against another ranked flyweight could still alter the outcome.