Azerbaijan leads Group D2 standings with 5 points from three matches after a 1-1 draw with Lithuania, a 0-0 result against Liechtenstein, and a 1-0 victory over Lithuania, establishing a clear advantage in the UEFA Nations League 2026-27 promotion race. Lithuania sits second on 4 points following a 2-0 win over Liechtenstein and the split results with Azerbaijan, keeping narrow mathematical hopes alive with two fixtures remaining. Liechtenstein trails with just 1 point from two games and faces the steepest climb. Trader consensus reflects these early outcomes and remaining schedule, with Azerbaijan heavily favored while Lithuania retains realistic but limited upset potential and Liechtenstein sits near the bottom.