**President Erdogan’s October 1, 2026, parliamentary address launched renewed debate on drafting a new civilian constitution, framing the legislative year as a “constitution year” and highlighting the need to replace the 1982 charter.** Senior adviser Mehmet Ucum confirmed on October 15 that October 1 marked the start of preparatory work, yet stressed that any entirely new constitution requires a public referendum regardless of parliamentary support and positioned concrete drafting and adoption as a realistic goal only after the 2028 elections in the subsequent parliamentary term. Officials describe the current phase as one of intellectual groundwork and consensus-building rather than immediate legislative action. The ruling alliance lacks the supermajority needed for amendments without a vote, and opposition parties remain cautious, viewing the effort partly through the lens of term-limit debates. No timetable or formal announcement for a 2026 referendum has emerged, aligning with trader consensus that such a vote is unlikely to be called this year.