President Erdoğan's October 1 call for a "year of the Constitution" and the AKP's September completion of internal drafting work have kept the issue on the agenda, yet the ruling alliance controls only about 326-333 seats in the 600-member parliament—well short of the 360-vote threshold typically needed for meaningful progress without broad opposition support. Recent cross-party consensus on the "Terror-Free Türkiye" framework law demonstrated coalition-building is possible, but sustained resistance from major opposition parties, concerns over term-limit implications, and ongoing focus on PKK disarmament talks and cabinet adjustments have limited momentum. Internal AKP preparations continue without a public draft or legislative timetable, and analysts note foundational discussions may extend into the next parliamentary term after 2028. These barriers sustain trader expectations that substantive movement remains unlikely before year-end.