Jaroslav Baška holds a commanding position in the Trenčín Region governor race due to his incumbency since 2013 and backing from a broad coalition including Smer-SD, Hlas-SD, SNS, and Republika. A September 2026 AKO poll for JOJ 24 placed him at 57.5% among decided voters against Natália Svítková’s 38.6%, with nearly one-quarter of respondents still undecided. Baška emphasizes continuity on road infrastructure, hospital management, secondary education, and regional transport projects. Svítková, backed by an opposition alliance of Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko, KDH, OKS, Progresívne Slovensko, and SaS, draws stronger support among younger voters and in districts such as Trenčín and Myjava. The October 24 election leaves limited time for major shifts, though high undecided shares and turnout patterns in specific districts could narrow the gap. Other registered candidates, including Lubomír Choleva and Daniel Galas, register minimal polling support.