Falcons enter the Thunderpick World Championship 2026 as the narrow market leader at 39% implied probability, buoyed by their recent Cologne Major title and strong Valve Regional Standings placement, yet tempered by inconsistent results in subsequent S-tier events. Aurora and FURIA sit close behind at 28.5% each, reflecting Aurora’s solid third-place finish at ESL Pro League Season 24 and FURIA’s status as defending champions with renewed roster stability. Legacy at 23.5% benefits from high VRS ranking and the return of in-game leader arT after illness. The eight-team field, split into GSL groups before single-elimination playoffs in Malta, features several evenly matched contenders whose recent form, map pool execution, and head-to-head history keep the outright market tightly bunched.