Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) under Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) under Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo remains deadlocked, with SAF rejecting U.S.-backed proposals for an immediate 90-day humanitarian truce followed by talks on a permanent ceasefire and civilian transition. Burhan has publicly vowed to pursue the military option until RSF forces are expelled from all territory, citing risks of de facto partition, while the RSF has offered limited public response. Recent SAF territorial gains in North Kordofan contrast with continued RSF drone activity and displacements in Blue Nile, reducing incentives for near-term de-escalation. Parallel diplomatic tracks, including Quintet mediation in Addis Ababa and civilian calls for an unconditional truce, have not bridged core disputes over RSF withdrawal and political inclusion. Short-term local arrangements remain possible but face high violation risks given the parties’ positions and external mediator divisions.
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