Morena holds the strongest trader consensus for the State of Mexico state congress election winner at 72.5 percent, reflecting its consistent leads in recent municipal polling across most of the state's largest districts ahead of the June 2027 vote. Local surveys from September and October 2026 show the party ahead in 10–15 of 13–17 measured municipalities, often by double-digit margins, while PAN retains edges only in a handful of western suburbs. PVEM, a frequent Morena ally, sits at 21 percent amid expectations of coordinated candidacies. Opposition parties including MC, PAN, PRI, and PT register minimal single-digit support in the same data, consistent with fragmented opposition performance since the 2024 gubernatorial result. The June 6, 2027, ballot will renew 75 legislative seats alongside municipal offices, with no major late shifts reported in the past month.