Recent U.S. Drought Monitor assessments show limited but persistent Exceptional Drought (D4) coverage, primarily expanding in northern Wisconsin and portions of Michigan’s Upper Peninsula amid subnormal precipitation, while remnants of Hurricane Polo delivered heavy rainfall that eased conditions across the Southern Plains. Nationally, D4 occupies roughly 1% of the contiguous U.S. as of early October 2026 data, with 46% of the country in at least moderate drought (D1–D4). The weekly map, produced jointly by the National Drought Mitigation Center, NOAA, USDA, and NASA, incorporates precipitation, soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation indices; the next release, expected mid-October, will reflect conditions through the prior Tuesday and directly inform state-level D4 status. Short-term forecast uncertainty and any late-season tropical moisture could shift boundaries before resolution.
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