SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded in a volatile $156–$171 range through mid-October 2026 following the June IPO at $135 and an intraday peak near $226. Recent sessions reflect sensitivity to AI infrastructure spending, Starlink subscriber growth, and a $300 Morgan Stanley price target offset by more conservative models near $100 or below. Spectrum acquisitions for mobile services and upcoming third-quarter results due late October represent near-term catalysts, while wide analyst dispersion—from bullish $300-plus scenarios to sub-$100 base cases—underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $150–$165 bands observed in live trading near $156–$163.