**Ivica Dačić’s “Factor of Stability” list (SPS-led coalition) holds the strongest position for third place in Serbia’s 25 October parliamentary election, as recent polling and betting markets consistently project only three lists clearing the 3% threshold.** Aleksandar Vučić’s United Serbia list leads with roughly 46–49% support, followed by the Student List at 37–39%, while Dačić’s coalition polls around 4.9%—well above the threshold and ahead of European Serbia (around 3.6%), Authentic Right, and other options that remain below or near it. A large Dačić rally on 11 October reinforced the stability message and highlighted the SPS list’s role in maintaining continuity amid polarization. With the campaign entering its final phase and no major shifts reported in the past week, trader consensus reflects the limited field of viable contenders for third place.