**No** holds a 94.5% implied probability because the NFL single-season sacks record now stands at 23, set by Myles Garrett in 2025. Through the first five weeks of the 2026 season, league leaders like Greg Rousseau (6.0 sacks), Will Anderson Jr. (around 7.5), and Dallas Turner (5.5) sit well below the pace needed to reach 24. Elite edge rushers typically face frequent double teams, scheme adjustments, and variable playing time that cap production, while the 17-game schedule and injury risks further limit upside. Historical precedents show even the best pass-rush seasons rarely exceed the low 20s, and no current trajectory or roster development points to a realistic challenge of Garrett’s mark. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers in the early-season data.