**Early hot streaks by a handful of backs and quarterbacks have created some record-watch buzz, but sustaining a 28-touchdown pace remains a steep climb.** Through the first five weeks of the 2026 season, Josh Allen leads with seven rushing scores in four games, while Jahmyr Gibbs, Derrick Henry, Jonathan Taylor, and Javonte Williams sit at six or seven apiece. Those figures project near or above the LaDainian Tomlinson mark of 28, yet the 17-game schedule, goal-line competition from teammates, defensive adjustments, and injury attrition typically produce sharp regression after fast starts. Allen’s dual-threat usage and Henry’s workload in Baltimore’s run-heavy scheme stand out as the clearest paths, but trader pricing at roughly 28% implied probability for Yes reflects the historical rarity of anyone reaching that threshold and the physical and schematic barriers that usually intervene.