The Arizona Cardinals' decision to trade third-year wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. to the Houston Texans on October 11, 2026, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward Houston at 98.9%. Arizona sought a second-round pick after Harrison posted just five receptions for 85 yards through four games amid broader offensive struggles, rendering him inactive for their Week 5 matchup. The Texans, seeking a reliable second option behind Nico Collins following Jayden Higgins' season-ending ACL injury, completed the swap for 2027 second- and sixth-round selections while sending back a seventh-rounder. The move reunites Harrison with college quarterback C.J. Stroud, aligning with Houston's push to salvage a 1-4 start. A deal collapse before final league processing or an unforeseen roster contingency remains the primary scenario that could shift the implied probability away from the Texans.