Matthew Stafford enters Week 5 of the 2026 NFL season as the clear consensus favorite to lead all quarterbacks in passing yards due to his role in the Rams' high-volume passing attack. The 38-year-old reigning MVP has averaged over 314 yards per game through the first four weeks while attempting 51 or more passes in three straight outings, supported by targets to Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. His 54-attempt, 383-yard performance against the Bills in Week 5 further reinforces trader positioning around his workload and efficiency in favorable game scripts. Other signal-callers such as Drake Maye or Jordan Love remain longshots given lower attempt totals and less consistent volume. A late scratch, extreme weather, or defensive adjustments limiting Rams possessions represent the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities.