**Early in the 2026 NFL season, Brock Purdy leads with 13 passing touchdowns through five games, followed closely by Jared Goff and Kirk Cousins at 12 each, Joe Burrow at 11, and a cluster including Trevor Lawrence, Jordan Love, and Aaron Rodgers at 10.** Goff's combination of high volume (1,485 yards), zero interceptions, and strong efficiency has positioned him as the slight market favorite at 25% implied probability, with Burrow at 18.5%. The tight distribution across multiple quarterbacks reflects the long remaining schedule, similar per-game paces among high-volume passers, and uncertainty around injuries, offensive line play, and matchup difficulty that can shift totals dramatically over the final 12-plus weeks. Trader pricing captures this parity without a dominant frontrunner.