Early in the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season, after eight matchweeks, Estoril Praia sits winless at the bottom with just two points while Casa Pia and Nacional occupy the direct relegation spots on four points each, reflecting poor starts marked by heavy defeats and limited scoring. Marítimo and Vitória de Guimarães hover nearby in the lower table, heightening the relegation battle as models assign Casa Pia and Nacional the highest probabilities of finishing 17th or 18th. With 26 rounds remaining, recent form, squad reinforcements during the summer window, and results in upcoming fixtures against mid-table sides will shape whether these clubs can climb clear of the drop zone or if further poor performances solidify their positions.