David Raya leads the market at 59% implied probability due to Arsenal’s consistently strong defensive structure and his record as the prior season’s Golden Glove winner with 19 clean sheets. Traders price in his reliability behind a backline that limits high-quality chances, even as Bart Verbruggen tops early standings with four shutouts for Brighton after six matches. Other options such as Gianluigi Donnarumma at Manchester City, Alisson at Liverpool, and Jordan Pickford at Everton sit lower as their clubs show varying defensive form and concede more opportunities on average. The wide field of 50% outcomes reflects uncertainty in a season where early clean-sheet leaders can shift quickly with fixture difficulty and squad rotation.