OpenAI leadership has driven the 97% market-implied probability against a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027 through explicit public statements. CEO Sam Altman told Fortune in September 2026 that a 2026 listing would be “ill-advised” given ongoing work on artificial intelligence safety, alignment, and government cooperation, adding “I would say not 2026.” CFO Sarah Friar similarly told employees the company expects to go public in 2027. A confidential S-1 filing submitted in June originally targeted September 2026 but was postponed, with the firm instead pursuing large private rounds—including reported talks for $30 billion at roughly $1.4 trillion—to bridge the gap. While strong revenue growth and a completed regulatory filing leave room for an unexpected acceleration, the consistent messaging and focus on pre-IPO safety milestones make a 2026 debut highly unlikely under current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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