The Parti Québécois secured 59 seats in the October 5, 2026, Quebec election, falling five short of the 64 needed for a majority in the 127-seat National Assembly. Widespread voter fatigue with the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec after eight years in power drove its complete collapse to zero seats, while the PQ consolidated francophone support outside Montreal through efficient first-past-the-post distribution despite capturing only 28 percent of the popular vote. A fragmented opposition—split among the Liberals (40 seats), Conservatives (19 seats), and Québec solidaire (9 seats)—further aided the PQ’s seat total. Pre-election polling averages and seat projections had centered on 58–62 seats for the PQ, with models assigning the highest probability to outcomes just below the majority threshold; final counts aligned closely with those forecasts, leaving limited room for shifts into higher ranges without major recounts or disputed ridings.