Spain's minority Socialist-led government under Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing parliamentary fragility after losing key housing decree votes in early October 2026, prompting the prime minister to dissolve Congress and call a snap general election for November 29. Opposition parties including the Popular Party and Vox, which lead opinion polls and previously passed a non-binding June resolution urging resignation over corruption probes, have long lacked the absolute majority needed to pass a binding no-confidence motion. Junts and other former allies have withdrawn legislative support, narrowing the window for any such vote before dissolution. Traders assess the short timeline, procedural hurdles, and Sánchez's history of surviving similar pressures as the main constraints on a successful motion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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