Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew faces Democrat Zack Mullock in New Jersey’s 2nd district on November 3, with the seat’s Republican lean tempered by recent Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and limited public polling. Internal surveys have shown Van Drew ahead by single digits or statistically tied after candidate biographies, while forecasters rate the contest solid or likely Republican based on the district’s voting history and Van Drew’s prior margins. Trader pricing on victory margins clusters around Republican wins of 3–12 points because national conditions, suburban turnout patterns, and South Jersey voter response to economic issues could compress or expand the result in the final weeks. Upcoming campaign events and any late polling releases may clarify the outcome range.