**Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3 election, supported by the seat’s solid Republican lean and his incumbency.** The district, which Trump carried by 13 points in 2024, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+5, and independent forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Van Drew won reelection by 17 points in 2024 and maintains a significant fundraising edge. On October 2, the DCCC added the district to its target list, directing some national resources to Democratic challenger Zack Mullock, the Cape May mayor who won his June primary. A Democratic internal poll from September showed Van Drew ahead 48-39 percent. These factors keep trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican incumbent despite the late-cycle attention on the race.