Recent defections have sharply reduced opposition strength in Nigeria’s Senate ahead of the January 2027 elections, with the PDP’s ranks falling from dozens to just six members after multiple senators switched to the APC in October. The APC now holds roughly 87 of 106 seats, reflecting sustained momentum from its governor base and campaign preparations that include cross-party coordinators. INEC’s final candidate lists confirm the APC’s full nationwide slate while highlighting fragmented opposition efforts, particularly from the PDP, NDC, and smaller parties. These structural shifts underpin trader consensus around the APC’s strong lead for the most Senate seats, with limited near-term catalysts visible to alter the balance before voting.