**Christoffer Öqvist leads trader consensus at 69% as the likely next Chair of the Regional Board (regionstyrelsens ordförande) in Region Sörmland.** The September 13, 2026, regional elections produced a narrow majority for a new coalition of Moderaterna, Sverigedemokraterna, Kristdemokraterna, and Vård för pengarna (40 of 79 seats), which replaced Centerpartiet from the prior governing arrangement. Öqvist, the sitting Moderat chair and a key figure in the outgoing administration, is positioned to continue under the coalition agreement, with public statements and reporting indicating continuity in the leadership role. Urban Granström (Socialdemokraterna), the main opposition figure, sits at 7.5%, reflecting the Social Democrats’ continued exclusion from the executive. Lower-priced candidates largely represent opposition or minor-party figures with limited path to the chair position. The market implies resolution once the incoming regional council formally elects the chair following the election results, with trader pricing driven by the post-election coalition dynamics and Öqvist’s established incumbency within the new majority.