Kyriakos Mitsotakis holds the strongest position in the market for Greece’s next prime minister, reflecting New Democracy’s sustained lead in recent polls at around 30% estimated vote share—more than 14 points ahead of Alexis Tsipras’s ELAS party—with Mitsotakis himself topping suitability ratings near 31%. Traders assign lower probabilities to opposition figures such as Tsipras, Nikos Androulakis, and others amid a fragmented field where no single challenger consolidates support. Recent polling shows persistent public concern over living costs and a preference for political change, yet New Democracy’s advantage persists because the opposition remains divided and the party retains an edge on policy execution and crisis management. Mitsotakis has publicly tied his leadership to securing an outright majority in the next election, expected in 2027, while a U.S. diplomatic visit drew modestly positive public response.