Miroslava Ferancová, the incumbent from ANO, holds a narrow lead in the market after her movement secured the largest bloc of 13 seats in the 45-member council during the October 9-10 municipal elections. With no party reaching a majority, coalition negotiations now determine the next mayor, keeping Marek Zelenka of STAN competitive at around 40 percent as the second-place finisher with nine seats. Other candidates from smaller groupings remain marginal due to limited leverage in forming a governing majority. The tight pricing reflects uncertainty over potential alliances, historical patterns of post-election bargaining in Czech cities, and the absence of a clear frontrunner until talks conclude. Developments such as confirmed coalition agreements or shifts in partner support could quickly separate the probabilities.