Netanyahu’s insistence that the Justice Ministry remain under Likud control after the October 27 Knesset election has kept the race for the next minister tightly contested among multiple contenders. Coalition partners, including Otzma Yehudit’s Itamar Ben Gvir, have pressed claims for Tally Gotliv, while Likud figures such as current minister Yariv Levin and Religious Zionism’s Simcha Rothman also feature in internal discussions. The ministry’s central role in judicial appointments and oversight of the attorney general makes portfolio allocation a key bargaining chip in post-election talks. With no single candidate commanding clear momentum and formation of the next government still pending, trader odds reflect uncertainty over which faction will ultimately secure the position and whether negotiations could extend past early 2027.