**The Virginia Supreme Court’s May 2026 ruling invalidated the voter-approved constitutional amendment authorizing mid-decade redistricting, citing procedural violations in how the measure reached the ballot.** The U.S. Supreme Court declined further intervention, leaving the existing congressional districts—drawn after the 2020 census—unchanged for the November 2026 midterms. With primaries completed, candidate filing deadlines passed, and only weeks remaining before Election Day, no viable legislative or judicial path remains to enact and implement a replacement map in time. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the current lines staying in place, reflecting the finality of the court decisions and the compressed timeline. Only an extraordinary, unforeseen late intervention could alter this outcome.