Preseason projections for the 2026-27 NBA season, which tips off October 20, show the large majority of teams on pace for 40-plus wins, driven by established cores like the Knicks, Celtics, and 76ers in the East alongside Western powers such as the Thunder and Spurs. Only a small group of rebuilding squads—the Kings, Nets, Bucks, and Wizards—sit near or below the 30-win line amid roster turnover, limited star talent, and weaker supporting casts. Recent free-agency moves, draft additions, and preseason results have reinforced these gaps, with depth and health expected to separate contenders from lottery teams over the 82-game schedule. Trader consensus on the number of squads clearing 30 victories aligns closely with these simulations rather than any single upset scenario.