**Strong pitching and low home run output have defined the ALCS so far, with only one homer across Game 3’s 3-2 Guardians victory.** Gavin Williams struck out nine over five innings for Cleveland while the bullpen limited the Rays to three hits total, continuing a postseason trend of dominant arms from both sides. Petey Halpin’s fifth-inning two-run shot was the lone long ball. Game 4 at Progressive Field features Rays hitters facing Cleveland’s home pitching staff, which has posted elite strikeout rates and allowed minimal extra-base damage. The venue and playoff intensity typically suppress power numbers, and any rain delay or shortened game would further reduce opportunities. Recent series games have stayed under the run total, keeping team home run expectations modest absent lineup changes or favorable matchups.