**Modern MLB pitching strategies and the inherent rarity of the feat explain the strong trader consensus against a perfect game occurring in the 2026 season.** With the regular season concluded on September 27 and the postseason underway without any perfectos, the 24 historical instances (last in 2023 by Domingo Germán) underscore how infrequently pitchers retire all 27 batters without a baserunner. Factors include pitch-count limits, expanded bullpens, and defensive support demands, which limit complete games and increase the chance of walks, hits, or errors. Playoff matchups add further variance through rested lineups and high-stakes adjustments, though the single postseason perfect game (Don Larsen, 1956) remains an outlier. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural barriers and the absence of any 2026 occurrence to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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