**Sal Stewart leads the NL Rookie of the Year market at 78.6% implied probability, driven by his traditional counting stats including 32 home runs and 111–112 RBI across a full 162-game season for the Reds, plus an All-Star nod.** Carson Benge sits at 19.4% after a strong late surge that produced a .282/.346/.430 line, 20 homers, 22 stolen bases, and 4.3 WAR for the Mets, highlighted by elite outfield defense and arm strength. Stewart’s power and run production kept him atop most of the season, while Benge closed ground in advanced metrics like wRC+ and fWAR during the second half. Other candidates such as JJ Wetherholt and Nolan McLean register under 1%, reflecting limited market conviction despite solid WAR totals. The pricing aligns with the historical preference for flashy offense over defensive value in rookie voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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