Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Warsaw's lowest temperature on October 15 will likely fall between 6°C and 9°C, driven by high-pressure conditions promoting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds. This setup favors moderate temperature drops after daytime highs near 12–14°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-October in the region. Model consensus points to limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation, reducing the chance of warmer air mixing, though slight variations in wind speed or residual moisture could shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range and inherent forecast uncertainty as the day progresses, with traders weighting official station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.