Recent forecasts from models aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration data indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C in the Incheon-Seoul area on October 15, driven by mild autumn conditions with southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and dew points near 14–15°C that limit overnight radiative cooling. This consensus reflects consistent observational trends and ensemble runs showing no significant cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would drop readings lower. The market-implied odds near 98% for 16°C capture this high model agreement, though a stronger northerly shift or unexpected clear skies overnight could allow the minimum to reach 14–15°C before resolution.