Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on October 13 project an overnight low near 60°F, supported by southerly flow advecting mild air and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure system. Current observations from Central Park and regional stations show temperatures holding in the upper 50s to low 60s through early morning, consistent with mid-October climatology but elevated by recent warm advection. This consensus underpins the market's 98% implied probability for a 60-61°F low. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum, with limited downside risk unless unexpected radiational cooling or a brief northerly shift develops before midnight.