Recent meteorological model consensus, including runs from European forecasting centers, supports a minimum temperature of 9°C in Milan on October 15 as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 93.5% market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear skies have driven temperatures toward this level, consistent with current observations hovering near 10–12°C in early morning hours. Minor model spreads introduce limited uncertainty around exact hourly minima, while scenarios such as unexpected cloud cover thickening or localized urban heat effects could push readings slightly higher, though significant deviations below 9°C appear unlikely given the established pattern.