**Mild southwesterly airflow and extensive cloud cover are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, positioning a minimum of 15°C as the dominant outcome with 89.5% market-implied probability.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts show temperatures bottoming near 15°C in the early hours before rising steadily to a daytime peak of 21°C under mostly cloudy skies with low rain risk. This aligns with typical mid-October conditions when warm advection prevents sharper drops, though model runs note minor uncertainty around localized clear spells that could allow a brief dip toward 14°C (11.5% odds). Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus from recent model updates against the small chance of revised guidance before final resolution.