Trader consensus at 100% for a 29°C low in Jeddah on October 13 reflects official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and numerical models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds. Persistent subtropical conditions, including warm Red Sea sea-surface temperatures around 30°C and high humidity near 75-80%, limit radiative cooling despite calm nights typical of mid-October. Historical October lows average near 28-30°C, providing climatological support. The market-implied odds could shift only with an unforecasted surge in winds or thicker cloud cover that alters the temperature profile, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation before resolution.