Zoran Janković holds the strongest position as the long-serving incumbent seeking a seventh term, backed by his established record of municipal projects and consistent leads in recent polling around 36%. A September Ninamedia survey placed him well ahead of Luka Mesec at 21% and Anton Rop at 12%, with a likely runoff on November 29 if no candidate secures a first-round majority on November 15. The late entry of Klemen Boštjančič for Gibanje Svoboda has introduced additional fragmentation on the center-left, alongside right-leaning challenger Aleš Vrhovec for SDS and several lower-polling candidates including Jasmin Feratović and Apolonija Simon. These developments, combined with campaign focus on housing, transport, and urban priorities, underpin the current trader consensus favoring Janković while assigning meaningful but secondary probabilities to Mesec and Boštjančič.