Early in the 2026-27 La Liga campaign after nine matchdays, newly promoted sides Málaga, Racing Santander, and Deportivo de A Coruña occupy the lower reaches alongside established clubs like Valencia, Elche, Getafe, and Osasuna. Málaga remain winless with just four points and a negative goal difference, while Racing and Getafe sit on eight points each amid inconsistent results. Simulations project Málaga as the clearest candidate for the drop, with Getafe and Racing facing elevated risk given their early form, limited squad depth, and fixture difficulty ahead. Survival typically requires around 38-41 points, and the next several weeks of matches will clarify whether the promoted sides can stabilize or if mid-table teams pull clear through improved attacking output and defensive organization.