**The 89.5% market-implied probability for “No” on a 2026 engagement reflects the couple’s explicit choice to avoid rushing marriage after more than three years together.** Multiple credible reports, including an August 2026 People source, state that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet are “very much in love” and “don’t have plans to rush an engagement,” preferring their current pace. Jenner has publicly prioritized enjoying the remainder of her 20s without additional children, and no official confirmation or announcement of an engagement has surfaced despite frequent joint appearances at events such as the 2026 Critics Choice Awards—where Chalamet called her his “partner of three years”—the Oscars, and major sports finals. Occasional tabloid speculation and unverified social-media claims have not altered the trader consensus, which treats the absence of verified milestones as the dominant signal in this high-uncertainty celebrity category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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