Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator and sole party nominee, maintains overwhelming market support ahead of the November 28, 2026, Kinmen County Magistrate election due to internal party consolidation and favorable polling. Former KMT magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew from the race in September to preserve unity, leaving Chen facing six independent challengers including former deputy magistrate Li Wen-liang. A KMT-commissioned survey from mid-September showed Chen at 45.4% support—more than double the combined total for her rivals—with leads across townships and strong backing from KMT and TPP-leaning voters. The absence of a competitive DPP candidate and the fragmented opposition field have further reinforced trader consensus around her position. Late developments such as shifts among undecided voters or unforeseen campaign events could still alter the outcome before election day.