**Trader consensus on "No" at 99.6% for Kanye West (Ye) facing arrest in Russia by October 31 stems primarily from the definitive cancellation of his planned St. Petersburg stadium concerts.** Scheduled for October 10–11 at Gazprom Arena, the shows were scrapped in late September and early October amid venue disputes, ticket-sale investigations, and sharp backlash from Russian officials over Ye’s past glorification of Hitler and Nazi imagery, which violates Russian law. Refunds began October 12, with no rescheduling announced. Recent reports place the artist focused on U.S. activities, including album and tour updates, with no verified travel to Russia. While a surprise unannounced trip remains theoretically possible, the combination of official cancellation, political opposition, and lack of any itinerary makes an arrest scenario highly improbable before the deadline.