Democratic incumbents Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock face different timelines in Georgia. Ossoff seeks a second term against Republican Representative Mike Collins in the November 3, 2026, election, while Warnock’s seat is not on the ballot until 2028. Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead by roughly 8–10 points, with consistent leads across multiple surveys conducted through early October. Forecasters have shifted the race to Likely Democrat, and prediction markets assign Ossoff win probabilities above 95 percent. Ossoff has publicly committed to serving a full term if reelected and rejected 2028 presidential speculation. No developments indicate either senator intends to resign or faces removal before the end of 2026. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or health crisis remain the primary variables that could still alter outcomes before Election Day.
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