Polls ahead of Jalisco's next state congress elections show Morena leading party preference in most major municipalities, including Guadalajara at 33-36 percent, while Movimiento Ciudadano stays competitive in places like Zapopan and Tlaquepaque. PAN, PRI, and smaller parties trail further behind in recent surveys from firms such as Gobernarte and Metametrics. These results align with trader consensus reflected in current market prices, where no single party holds a dominant edge. Internal candidate positioning within Morena and MC, combined with ongoing coalition talks among opposition forces, keeps the contest fragmented. Scheduled primaries and final candidate lists in coming months could alter seat projections and widen or narrow the gap among frontrunners.